Análisis Deportivo Merlo vs Instituto
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
28.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
28.2%
Empate
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
43.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.28
Goles esperados
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 feb. 2013 |
MER
1 - 2
CEN
24%
28%
48%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2013 |
DYJ
2 - 1
MER
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 dic. 2012 |
GLP
2 - 0
MER
62%
24%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 2012 |
MER
1 - 2
ALD
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 nov. 2012 |
GIM
2 - 0
MER
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 feb. 2013 |
INS
0 - 0
IRV
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2013 |
INS
1 - 1
IRV
46%
26%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2013 |
INS
2 - 2
BEL
32%
29%
39%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 2013 |
INS
0 - 2
TAL
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 0
INS
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |