Análisis Deportivo Morón vs Def. Belgrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.62
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+15%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 sep. 2005 |
FLA
1 - 1
MOR
31%
30%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2005 |
MOR
2 - 1
ALB
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2005 |
SUA
0 - 2
MOR
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 ago. 2005 |
MOR
0 - 0
LAF
63%
22%
16%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 ago. 2005 |
CCO
0 - 1
MOR
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 sep. 2005 |
DEF
0 - 0
TAL
56%
24%
21%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2005 |
TEM
2 - 1
DEF
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2005 |
DEF
1 - 1
FLA
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2005 |
DEF
4 - 2
COM
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 ago. 2005 |
ITA
2 - 2
DEF
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |