Análisis Deportivo Morón vs Def. Belgrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.55
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.6%
Empate
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
20.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+16%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ene. 2009 |
SUA
3 - 0
MOR
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 0
FLA
66%
23%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2008 |
TEM
1 - 1
MOR
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 2008 |
ESP
0 - 2
MOR
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 0
ARM
63%
24%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ene. 2009 |
COM
0 - 1
DEF
42%
28%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2008 |
DEF
1 - 1
ACA
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 dic. 2008 |
DEF
1 - 3
ITA
39%
29%
33%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 dic. 2008 |
STM
1 - 1
DEF
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 nov. 2008 |
DEF
1 - 1
BRO
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |