Análisis Deportivo Morón vs Deportivo Merlo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.84
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+18%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ago. 2000 |
ATL
0 - 0
MOR
66%
19%
15%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 2000 |
MOR
0 - 2
ALM
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 ago. 2000 |
DEF
0 - 1
MOR
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 dic. 1969 |
MOR
2 - 1
STM
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -7 |
| 18 dic. 1969 |
BAN
3 - 1
MOR
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
Partidos
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ago. 2000 |
MER
0 - 0
FLA
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 2000 |
ITA
0 - 1
MER
61%
22%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |