Análisis Deportivo Morón vs Deportivo Merlo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.69
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+18%
-19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 sep. 2008 |
SAR
2 - 1
MOR
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 0
COL
62%
24%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 ago. 2008 |
CHI
0 - 0
MOR
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 1
ALM
38%
30%
33%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 ago. 2008 |
DEF
0 - 2
MOR
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Partidos
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 sep. 2008 |
MER
2 - 1
ARM
41%
29%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 2008 |
COM
3 - 0
MER
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 ago. 2008 |
MER
0 - 0
ACA
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 ago. 2008 |
ITA
1 - 0
MER
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 ago. 2008 |
MER
1 - 1
STM
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |