Análisis Deportivo Morón vs Sarmiento
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.6
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+18%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 may. 2008 |
TEM
1 - 1
MOR
25%
28%
47%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 0
COM
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2008 |
ACA
0 - 1
MOR
32%
29%
39%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 abr. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 0
ESP
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2008 |
SUA
1 - 4
MOR
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 may. 2008 |
SAR
2 - 1
ACA
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2008 |
ESP
0 - 2
SAR
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 abr. 2008 |
SAR
0 - 4
SUA
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 abr. 2008 |
ATL
2 - 1
SAR
46%
25%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2008 |
SAR
0 - 3
FLA
64%
22%
15%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -2 |