Análisis Deportivo Municipal vs Alianza Lima
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
42.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.25
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.5%
Empate
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
29.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 sep. 2007 |
CIE
4 - 0
MUN
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2007 |
MUN
1 - 0
SPC
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 sep. 2007 |
SPO
3 - 1
MUN
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 sep. 2007 |
SAM
0 - 1
MUN
66%
22%
12%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 2007 |
MUN
1 - 0
TOT
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 sep. 2007 |
ALI
0 - 0
MEL
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 2007 |
SPC
1 - 2
ALI
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 0
ALI
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2007 |
ALI
1 - 2
CIE
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 ago. 2007 |
ALI
0 - 5
SAM
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |