Análisis Dep. Quito vs Aucas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.92
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.7%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 oct. 2005 |
EME
2 - 0
QUI
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2005 |
ESP
5 - 0
QUI
25%
26%
49%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 sep. 2005 |
QUI
1 - 1
CUE
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 2005 |
CUE
1 - 1
QUI
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2005 |
QUI
2 - 0
ESP
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 oct. 2005 |
AUC
2 - 3
CUE
42%
27%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2005 |
LDU
0 - 3
AUC
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 sep. 2005 |
AUC
2 - 0
BSC
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 2005 |
BSC
2 - 0
AUC
57%
25%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2005 |
AUC
2 - 1
LDU
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |