Análisis Dep. Quito vs Macará
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.18
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.6%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.63
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 sep. 2004 |
CUE
1 - 0
QUI
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 2004 |
QUI
3 - 2
ESP
72%
18%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 ago. 2004 |
LDU
0 - 2
QUI
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 ago. 2004 |
QUI
1 - 1
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 ago. 2004 |
NAC
0 - 3
QUI
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 sep. 2004 |
MAC
2 - 1
AUC
32%
29%
40%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 ago. 2004 |
BSC
3 - 1
MAC
70%
20%
10%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 ago. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 1
MAC
70%
20%
11%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 ago. 2004 |
MAC
1 - 2
CUE
29%
28%
43%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 ago. 2004 |
CUE
1 - 0
MAC
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |