Análisis Dep. Quito vs Macará
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.81
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 may. 2009 |
QUI
2 - 0
CUE
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 may. 2009 |
EME
2 - 0
QUI
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 may. 2009 |
QUI
2 - 0
LDU
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 may. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 1
QUI
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2009 |
CRZ
2 - 0
QUI
73%
17%
11%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 2009 |
MAC
3 - 2
ESP
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 1
LIG
32%
27%
40%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 may. 2009 |
EME
1 - 0
MAC
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 abr. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 2
LDU
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 abr. 2009 |
LDU
1 - 1
MAC
38%
29%
34%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |