Análisis Dep. Quito vs CS Emelec
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.81
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.8%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 mar. 2009 |
EST
4 - 0
QUI
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2009 |
MAC
0 - 2
QUI
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 0
EST
43%
26%
32%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 2009 |
QUI
2 - 1
ESP
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 mar. 2009 |
LDU
4 - 0
QUI
58%
24%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 mar. 2009 |
EME
2 - 0
MAN
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2009 |
OLM
0 - 0
EME
43%
29%
28%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 2009 |
EME
3 - 2
CUE
43%
29%
29%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 mar. 2009 |
EME
0 - 0
BSC
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2009 |
TEC
2 - 1
EME
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |