Análisis Derby County vs Birmingham City
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
70.4%
Probabilidad gana
2.62
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.3%
Empate
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
13.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.07
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 nov. 1935 |
ARS
1 - 1
DER
73%
15%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 1935 |
DER
3 - 0
MAC
62%
19%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 oct. 1935 |
STO
0 - 0
DER
46%
23%
31%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 1935 |
DER
1 - 0
BBU
62%
18%
21%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 1935 |
SHW
1 - 0
DER
55%
21%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 nov. 1935 |
BIR
2 - 1
BRE
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 1935 |
PNE
3 - 1
BIR
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 1935 |
BIR
4 - 0
OPA
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 oct. 1935 |
SHW
3 - 1
BIR
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 oct. 1935 |
LIV
1 - 2
BIR
74%
15%
12%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |