Análisis Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
70.7%
Probabilidad gana
2.63
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.2%
Empate
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
13.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.06
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-13%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 1931 |
DER
1 - 5
NEW
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 1931 |
ARS
6 - 3
DER
62%
19%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 1931 |
DER
5 - 1
OPA
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 1931 |
GRI
5 - 3
DER
40%
23%
37%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 1931 |
MAC
4 - 3
DER
58%
20%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 feb. 1931 |
BOL
1 - 1
BBU
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 1931 |
BPO
3 - 3
BOL
45%
22%
34%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 feb. 1931 |
GRI
4 - 1
BOL
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 1931 |
BOL
2 - 2
SHW
40%
24%
36%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 1931 |
BOL
1 - 1
CHL
62%
21%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |