Análisis Derby County vs Chelsea
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
67.2%
Probabilidad gana
2.16
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.1%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 sep. 1974 |
DER
3 - 2
BUR
63%
20%
16%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 1974 |
DER
4 - 1
SER
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 1974 |
BIR
3 - 2
DER
45%
27%
28%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 1974 |
DER
2 - 2
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 1974 |
TOT
2 - 0
DER
55%
25%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 sep. 1974 |
IPS
2 - 0
CHL
62%
22%
17%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 1974 |
CHL
0 - 0
ARS
48%
25%
28%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 1974 |
MID
1 - 1
CHL
40%
28%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 1974 |
CHL
0 - 3
LIV
38%
29%
33%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 1974 |
BUR
1 - 2
CHL
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |