Análisis Derby County vs Middlesbrough
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.81
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.3%
Empate
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 dic. 1905 |
BCF
0 - 2
DER
59%
21%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 dic. 1905 |
DER
2 - 2
NTT
69%
17%
15%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 dic. 1905 |
DER
1 - 2
MAC
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 dic. 1905 |
SHW
1 - 0
DER
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 1905 |
DER
2 - 0
WOL
74%
14%
12%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 ene. 1906 |
SUN
2 - 1
MID
79%
13%
8%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 dic. 1905 |
MID
0 - 0
EVE
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 dic. 1905 |
BIR
7 - 0
MID
78%
13%
9%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 dic. 1905 |
MID
1 - 0
BIR
47%
24%
30%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 dic. 1905 |
MID
1 - 1
BBU
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |