Análisis Derby County vs Middlesbrough
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.47
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.6%
Empate
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
15.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.13
Goles esperados
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 oct. 1948 |
BIR
0 - 1
DER
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 1948 |
DER
2 - 1
CHL
71%
17%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 1948 |
EVE
0 - 1
DER
47%
22%
31%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 1948 |
DER
1 - 0
PNE
66%
18%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 1948 |
LIV
0 - 0
DER
51%
22%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 oct. 1948 |
MID
1 - 0
BPO
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 1948 |
LIV
4 - 0
MID
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 oct. 1948 |
MID
5 - 0
BOL
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 oct. 1948 |
WOL
0 - 3
MID
76%
14%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 oct. 1948 |
MAC
1 - 0
MID
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |