Análisis Derby County vs Middlesbrough
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.34
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.5%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 ago. 1976 |
NEW
2 - 2
DER
47%
24%
29%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 1976 |
IPS
2 - 6
DER
52%
25%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 1976 |
DER
1 - 3
EVE
73%
17%
11%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 1976 |
ASV
1 - 0
DER
29%
27%
43%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 1976 |
DER
2 - 2
LEI
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 ago. 1976 |
MID
1 - 0
COV
49%
27%
24%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 1976 |
ASV
2 - 1
MID
41%
27%
32%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 1976 |
EVE
3 - 1
MID
49%
25%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 1976 |
MID
3 - 0
SHE
53%
26%
21%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 1976 |
QPR
4 - 2
MID
60%
23%
18%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |