Análisis Derby County vs Millwall
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
51.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.57
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.3%
Empate
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 abr. 2013 |
BPO
2 - 1
DER
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2013 |
DER
3 - 1
POS
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 1
DER
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2013 |
BBU
2 - 0
DER
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2013 |
DER
0 - 1
IPS
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 abr. 2013 |
MIL
0 - 0
CRY
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2013 |
MIL
0 - 1
NTT
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2013 |
MIL
1 - 2
BBU
35%
27%
39%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 abr. 2013 |
HUR
3 - 0
MIL
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 abr. 2013 |
MIL
1 - 0
WAT
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |