Análisis Derby County vs Oldham Athletic AFC
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.94
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.3%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 ene. 1982 |
LEY
3 - 2
DER
42%
28%
31%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 1981 |
CAR
1 - 0
DER
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 nov. 1981 |
DER
1 - 1
CHL
66%
20%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 1981 |
DER
2 - 1
CAM
69%
19%
13%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 1981 |
NOR
4 - 1
DER
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ene. 1982 |
CAR
0 - 1
OLD
47%
27%
27%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 1982 |
OLD
1 - 1
WAT
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 dic. 1981 |
OLD
1 - 1
LEI
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 dic. 1981 |
OLD
0 - 3
BBU
57%
25%
18%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 1981 |
OLD
3 - 2
LEY
64%
23%
14%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |