Análisis Derby County vs Reading
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
46.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.44
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.4%
Empate
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.05
Goles esperados
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 ene. 2017 |
LEE
1 - 0
DER
40%
28%
33%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 2017 |
WBA
1 - 2
DER
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 ene. 2017 |
NOR
3 - 0
DER
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 dic. 2016 |
DER
0 - 0
WIG
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 dic. 2016 |
DER
1 - 0
BIR
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ene. 2017 |
REA
0 - 1
QPR
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 2017 |
MUD
4 - 0
REA
76%
17%
8%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 ene. 2017 |
BRI
2 - 3
REA
35%
26%
38%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 dic. 2016 |
REA
3 - 1
NOR
30%
27%
44%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 dic. 2016 |
BBU
2 - 3
REA
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |