Análisis Derby County vs Southampton
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
49.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.88
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.5%
Empate
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.36
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 oct. 1923 |
SOU
0 - 0
DER
69%
17%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 1923 |
DER
4 - 1
HUL
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 oct. 1923 |
HUL
0 - 1
DER
51%
25%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 1923 |
BRI
0 - 8
DER
46%
27%
28%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 sep. 1923 |
DER
2 - 3
BRI
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 oct. 1923 |
SOU
0 - 0
DER
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 1923 |
SOU
0 - 1
STO
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 oct. 1923 |
BRI
1 - 1
SOU
27%
24%
49%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 1923 |
SOU
1 - 0
BRI
84%
10%
5%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 1923 |
SOU
1 - 3
COV
83%
11%
6%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |