Análisis Derby County vs Swansea City
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
25.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.3%
Empate
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
47.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.46
Goles esperados
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 dic. 2020 |
DER
0 - 0
STO
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 2020 |
BRE
0 - 0
DER
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 dic. 2020 |
MIL
0 - 1
DER
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 2020 |
DER
1 - 1
COV
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 2020 |
DER
1 - 1
WYC
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 dic. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 2
SWA
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 2020 |
SWA
0 - 0
BOU
25%
25%
50%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 2020 |
SWA
2 - 0
LUT
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 dic. 2020 |
MID
2 - 1
SWA
30%
28%
43%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 nov. 2020 |
NTT
0 - 1
SWA
29%
27%
45%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |