Análisis Derby County vs Watford
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
47.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.63
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.5%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.19
Goles esperados
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 oct. 2010 |
MIL
2 - 0
DER
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2010 |
DON
2 - 3
DER
47%
27%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2010 |
DER
3 - 0
PNE
51%
24%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 oct. 2010 |
SWA
0 - 0
DER
53%
27%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 sep. 2010 |
DER
3 - 1
MID
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 oct. 2010 |
WAT
0 - 2
SCU
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2010 |
WAT
2 - 1
IPS
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2010 |
OPA
3 - 2
WAT
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2010 |
SHE
0 - 1
WAT
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 sep. 2010 |
WAT
2 - 3
SWA
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |