Paulista A3 Cuartos
Global 3-3
Análisis Desportivo Brasil vs Comercial
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
45.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.47
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26%
Empate
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.1
Goles esperados
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-22%
-24%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 abr. 2019 |
COM
1 - 0
DES
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2019 |
DES
1 - 0
BER
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2019 |
PRI
1 - 0
DES
20%
26%
55%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 mar. 2019 |
DES
0 - 1
CAP
37%
24%
39%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2019 |
DES
1 - 0
SAO
68%
20%
13%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 abr. 2019 |
COM
1 - 0
DES
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2019 |
VEL
0 - 0
COM
48%
27%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2019 |
COM
0 - 0
BAR
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2019 |
BAT
1 - 1
COM
30%
28%
42%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 1
COM
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |