Análisis Desportivo de Nacala vs Ferroviário Nampula
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
38.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.12
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
29.7%
Empate
0-0
12%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
32%
Probabilidad gana
1
Goles esperados
0-1
12%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+39%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Desportivo de Nacala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 abr. 2015 |
LIG
5 - 0
DES
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2015 |
DES
1 - 0
FCC
44%
28%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 mar. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
DES
35%
31%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 mar. 2015 |
DMA
0 - 2
DES
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 mar. 2015 |
DES
1 - 0
HCB
45%
29%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Ferroviário Nampula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2015 |
FER
2 - 0
DMA
47%
28%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2015 |
HCB
1 - 0
FER
38%
29%
33%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 mar. 2015 |
FER
0 - 1
QUE
48%
28%
24%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2015 |
COS
1 - 0
FER
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 mar. 2015 |
FER
0 - 2
FER
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |