Análisis Duque de Caxias vs Vila Nova
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
31.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.17
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.5%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
41.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.39
Goles esperados
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-15%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 may. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 0
DUQ
73%
18%
10%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 may. 2009 |
DUQ
4 - 2
JUV
23%
27%
50%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +3 |
| 09 may. 2009 |
CAM
1 - 2
DUQ
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 abr. 2009 |
VOL
1 - 1
DUQ
52%
24%
25%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 mar. 2009 |
DUQ
4 - 2
MES
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 may. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 0
SAO
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 may. 2009 |
IFC
4 - 0
VIL
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 may. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 0
POR
32%
28%
41%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +2 |
| 05 abr. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 1
ITU
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 mar. 2009 |
MIN
2 - 1
VIL
33%
24%
43%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |