Análisis Durango vs Pumas Morelos
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.55
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.6%
Empate
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 abr. 2008 |
LOB
1 - 2
DUR
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2008 |
DUR
2 - 0
SAG
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 mar. 2008 |
UAT
4 - 0
DUR
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 mar. 2008 |
DUR
3 - 0
JAG
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 mar. 2008 |
TIJ
1 - 2
DUR
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Pumas Morelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2008 |
PUM
2 - 0
TIJ
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2008 |
DOR
2 - 0
PUM
70%
20%
10%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2008 |
PUM
2 - 1
GUE
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 mar. 2008 |
AGU
1 - 1
PUM
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 mar. 2008 |
MEX
4 - 0
PUM
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |