Análisis DVS'33 vs Excelsior .31
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.26
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.5%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
-16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
DVS'33
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 sep. 2020 |
GOE
1 - 5
DVS
30%
24%
46%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 2020 |
DVS
3 - 1
DON
61%
20%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 mar. 2020 |
ALM
0 - 1
DVS
24%
21%
55%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 feb. 2020 |
DVS
0 - 1
SPA
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 feb. 2020 |
GOE
3 - 1
DVS
26%
24%
50%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
Partidos
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 sep. 2020 |
EXC
1 - 1
LIS
45%
24%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 2020 |
EXC
3 - 0
SUS
80%
13%
8%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 ago. 2020 |
TWE
3 - 1
EXC
79%
14%
6%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 2020 |
EXC
3 - 3
STE
51%
22%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 feb. 2020 |
ODI
3 - 1
EXC
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |