Análisis Bahía vs Atlético Alagoinhas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.43
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.6%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.03
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 mar. 2007 |
GOI
3 - 3
BAH
86%
11%
4%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2007 |
ITA
1 - 3
BAH
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 mar. 2007 |
BAH
1 - 1
GOI
16%
22%
61%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | +1 |
| 11 mar. 2007 |
BAH
2 - 4
VIT
40%
24%
37%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 mar. 2007 |
CAT
0 - 2
BAH
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 mar. 2007 |
IPI
1 - 3
ALA
52%
22%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2007 |
ALA
2 - 1
POC
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 mar. 2007 |
ALA
1 - 0
CAT
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 mar. 2007 |
VIT
0 - 1
ALA
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 mar. 2007 |
ALA
1 - 2
JUA
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |