Análisis Bahía vs Avaí
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.24
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.8%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.74
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 nov. 2004 |
BRA
2 - 1
BAH
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 2004 |
BAH
4 - 1
MAR
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 2004 |
AVA
0 - 0
BAH
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 oct. 2004 |
NAU
4 - 1
BAH
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 oct. 2004 |
BAH
1 - 0
NAU
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 nov. 2004 |
AVA
0 - 0
FOR
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 2004 |
NAU
2 - 1
AVA
59%
23%
19%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 oct. 2004 |
AVA
0 - 0
BAH
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 oct. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 3
AVA
47%
25%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 2004 |
AVA
1 - 0
MAR
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |