Análisis Bahía vs Barras
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
79%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.63
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.8%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.68
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 oct. 2007 |
ABC
4 - 3
BAH
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2007 |
VIL
2 - 3
BAH
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 2007 |
BAH
1 - 0
CRA
65%
20%
16%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 ago. 2007 |
BAH
2 - 1
CON
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 jul. 2007 |
ASA
0 - 4
BAH
21%
26%
53%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 oct. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 0
NAC
44%
25%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 1
BRA
23%
26%
51%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 2007 |
ATL
6 - 0
BAR
72%
19%
10%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 ago. 2007 |
SAM
1 - 1
BAR
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 jul. 2007 |
BAR
4 - 0
RIV
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |