Análisis Bahía vs Duque de Caxias
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
75.7%
Probabilidad gana
2.33
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.62
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 jun. 2010 |
ICA
4 - 0
BAH
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 may. 2010 |
BAH
2 - 0
SPO
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 may. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 4
BAH
29%
27%
45%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 may. 2010 |
BAH
1 - 1
PPE
57%
24%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2010 |
IFC
1 - 2
BAH
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 jun. 2010 |
DUQ
0 - 1
ARN
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 may. 2010 |
ICA
3 - 1
DUQ
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 may. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 5
PAR
33%
27%
41%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 may. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 0
DUQ
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 may. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 2
NAU
24%
24%
52%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |