Análisis Bahía vs Fluminense de Feira
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
81.1%
Probabilidad gana
2.54
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.3%
Empate
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
5.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.53
Goles esperados
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+25%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 feb. 2012 |
JUA
1 - 4
BAH
13%
20%
67%
|
72 | 36 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2012 |
BAH
0 - 0
VIT
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2012 |
BAH
2 - 0
VIT
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2012 |
ITA
3 - 4
BAH
13%
22%
65%
|
72 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2012 |
BAH
3 - 2
FEI
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
Partidos
Fluminense de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 feb. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 1
FEI
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 0
FLU
63%
22%
16%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 feb. 2012 |
JUA
1 - 2
FLU
42%
24%
34%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 feb. 2012 |
FLU
0 - 3
VIT
41%
25%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 feb. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 1
VIT
12%
20%
68%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | +1 |