Análisis Bahía vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.43
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
27.1%
Empate
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
21.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 oct. 1976 |
BAH
3 - 1
REM
52%
28%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 1976 |
ATM
2 - 1
BAH
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 1976 |
SAN
0 - 0
BAH
64%
22%
14%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 1976 |
BAH
1 - 0
ATP
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 1976 |
BAH
3 - 0
SAN
42%
29%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 oct. 1976 |
NAU
4 - 0
SAM
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 1976 |
FLA
0 - 0
NAU
34%
29%
38%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 1976 |
NAU
0 - 0
VOL
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 1976 |
NAU
2 - 1
ABC
72%
19%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 1976 |
SAN
2 - 1
NAU
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |