Análisis Bahía vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.49
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
26.3%
Empate
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
20.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+24%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 may. 1978 |
BAH
1 - 1
FLU
40%
30%
30%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 may. 1978 |
GOI
3 - 0
BAH
45%
29%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 may. 1978 |
BAH
1 - 0
CON
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 may. 1978 |
BAH
3 - 1
ITA
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 1978 |
BAH
5 - 0
VOL
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 may. 1978 |
NAU
2 - 0
SAN
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 may. 1978 |
CEA
1 - 1
NAU
37%
30%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 may. 1978 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAU
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 may. 1978 |
NAU
2 - 1
CRZ
29%
28%
44%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 may. 1978 |
NAU
4 - 2
ABC
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |