Análisis Bahía vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.71
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
+20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 sep. 1986 |
BAH
2 - 1
OPE
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 1986 |
BAH
3 - 0
SAN
51%
26%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 1986 |
TUN
0 - 3
BAH
24%
24%
52%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 1986 |
PIA
1 - 3
BAH
14%
27%
59%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 1986 |
VAS
0 - 1
BAH
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 sep. 1986 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAU
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 1986 |
NAU
3 - 1
OPE
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 sep. 1986 |
PIA
1 - 0
NAU
23%
27%
50%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | -1 |
| 06 sep. 1986 |
TUN
3 - 1
NAU
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 sep. 1986 |
NAU
0 - 1
RIO
83%
12%
6%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | +1 |