Análisis Bahía vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
49.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.42
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
27.1%
Empate
0-0
10%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
23.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
+21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 abr. 1991 |
BAH
1 - 2
PAL
40%
30%
30%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 1991 |
GRE
0 - 0
BAH
54%
28%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 1991 |
BAH
1 - 1
ATP
48%
30%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 1991 |
GOI
1 - 1
BAH
60%
25%
16%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 1991 |
VAS
1 - 0
BAH
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 1991 |
NAU
1 - 0
POR
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 1991 |
NAU
3 - 1
GRE
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 abr. 1991 |
ATP
3 - 0
NAU
57%
25%
19%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 mar. 1991 |
NAU
2 - 2
GOI
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 1991 |
NAU
2 - 0
CRZ
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |