Análisis Bahía vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.07
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.3%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+28%
+20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 oct. 2004 |
BAH
1 - 0
AVA
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 1
BAH
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2004 |
ANA
2 - 0
BAH
24%
25%
51%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2004 |
BAH
2 - 0
PAU
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2004 |
CAX
1 - 0
BAH
25%
25%
50%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 oct. 2004 |
NAU
0 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2004 |
AVA
1 - 0
NAU
36%
27%
38%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 sep. 2004 |
NAU
2 - 1
JEC
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 sep. 2004 |
REM
3 - 2
NAU
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 sep. 2004 |
NAU
3 - 0
VIL
65%
20%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |