Serie A Betano Jor. 20

Análisis Bahía vs Vasco da Gama

Bahía Vasco da Gama
81 ELO 85
13.4% Tilt -2.8%
137º Ranking ELO general 149º
12º Ranking ELO país 19º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
41.8%
Bahía
24.4%
Empate
33.9%
Vasco da Gama

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
41.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
Bahía
1.57
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.4%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
Vasco da Gama
1.39
Goles esperados
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Bahía
+6%
-6%
Vasco da Gama

Progresión del ELO

Bahía
Vasco da Gama
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Bahía
Bahía
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 oct. 2002
FLU
Fluminense
1 - 0
Bahía
BAH
52%
23%
25%
81 81 0 0
16 oct. 2002
BAH
Bahía
2 - 1
Ponte Preta
PPE
51%
24%
25%
81 83 2 0
13 oct. 2002
BAH
Bahía
5 - 3
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
41%
24%
35%
80 83 3 +1
09 oct. 2002
PAY
Paysandu
3 - 2
Bahía
BAH
31%
26%
43%
80 70 10 0
02 oct. 2002
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 1
Bahía
BAH
49%
25%
27%
80 80 0 0

Partidos

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 oct. 2002
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 0
Paraná
PAR
64%
20%
16%
85 79 6 0
16 oct. 2002
VAS
Vasco da Gama
2 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
60%
21%
20%
85 81 4 0
12 oct. 2002
SAO
São Caetano
2 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
43%
24%
33%
85 83 2 0
05 oct. 2002
GUA
Guaraní
1 - 2
Vasco da Gama
VAS
36%
26%
38%
85 81 4 0
29 sep. 2002
VAS
Vasco da Gama
4 - 0
Portuguesa
POR
63%
20%
17%
85 80 5 0