Análisis Bahía vs Vitória
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.05
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.2%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 mar. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 2
BAH
30%
26%
44%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2024 |
BOT
4 - 0
BAH
11%
21%
68%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2024 |
BAH
1 - 0
MAR
85%
11%
4%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2024 |
BAH
2 - 1
VIT
69%
19%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2024 |
BAH
4 - 1
JEQ
88%
9%
3%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
Partidos
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 mar. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 2
BAH
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 0
TRE
81%
15%
5%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 1
VIT
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2024 |
BAH
2 - 1
VIT
69%
19%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 2024 |
VIT
4 - 1
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | 0 |