Amapaense Temporada Regular Jor. 5

Análisis Macapá vs Oratorio

Macapá Oratorio
30 ELO 22
5.5% Tilt 1.6%
35588º Ranking ELO general 8926º
1124º Ranking ELO país 390º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
65.6%
Macapá
19.1%
Empate
15.3%
Oratorio

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
Macapá
2.23
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.1%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.3%
Win probability
Oratorio
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Macapá
-12%
+89%
Oratorio

Progresión del ELO

Macapá
Oratorio
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Macapá
Macapá
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 oct. 2009
ECM
Macapá
1 - 1
Trem DC
TDC
29%
23%
48%
30 43 13 0
09 oct. 2009
ECM
Macapá
2 - 3
São Paulo AP
SPM
67%
19%
15%
30 21 9 0
29 sep. 2009
ECM
Macapá
4 - 2
São José AP
SAO
29%
24%
48%
27 41 14 +3
24 jun. 2008
ECM
Macapá
2 - 1
São José AP
SAO
25%
23%
51%
23 44 21 +4
13 jun. 2008
SPM
São Paulo AP
1 - 1
Macapá
ECM
46%
23%
31%
24 21 3 -1

Partidos

Oratorio
Oratorio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 oct. 2009
SEC
Santana
2 - 2
Oratorio
ORC
64%
20%
17%
22 28 6 0
06 oct. 2009
MAC
Mazagão
1 - 1
Oratorio
ORC
63%
20%
16%
22 32 10 0
01 oct. 2009
SAN
Santos AP
1 - 1
Oratorio
ORC
62%
20%
18%
22 24 2 0
12 sep. 2009
YAP
Ypiranga AP
1 - 0
Oratorio
ORC
69%
18%
12%
22 39 17 0