Análisis XV de Novembro vs Atlético Sorocaba
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.17
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.8%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ene. 2008 |
POR
1 - 0
ECN
25%
24%
52%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2007 |
CAT
0 - 2
ECN
22%
22%
56%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2007 |
ECN
3 - 1
POR
71%
17%
11%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 mar. 2007 |
ECN
3 - 0
OES
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 mar. 2007 |
BOT
2 - 0
ECN
48%
23%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ene. 2008 |
ATL
2 - 2
BOT
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 5
GUA
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 mar. 2007 |
BOT
3 - 2
ATL
64%
19%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 2
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2007 |
TAU
3 - 2
ATL
30%
24%
46%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |