Análisis XV de Novembro vs Nacional SP
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
48.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.6
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.12
Goles esperados
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 jul. 2023 |
SJS
0 - 1
ECN
25%
25%
50%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 jul. 2023 |
ECN
2 - 1
MAU
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 jul. 2023 |
TAN
0 - 2
ECN
16%
19%
65%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 jul. 2023 |
ECN
4 - 0
UNI
64%
21%
14%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 jul. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 1
ECN
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 jul. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 0
UNI
21%
22%
58%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 jul. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 0
UNI
20%
21%
59%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 jul. 2023 |
AME
2 - 1
NAC
15%
22%
64%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 jul. 2023 |
FLA
0 - 1
NAC
27%
26%
47%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 jul. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 1
FLA
56%
24%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |