Análisis Ed Javalí-Ñora vs Cuarto Distrito
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
17.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.2%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
61.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.98
Goles esperados
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ed Javalí-Ñora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 may. 2011 |
CIE
8 - 0
ZAR
65%
20%
15%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2011 |
MUL
2 - 0
ZAR
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2011 |
ZAR
1 - 2
CEU
20%
22%
58%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2011 |
AGU
2 - 1
ZAR
81%
14%
6%
|
12 | 35 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 abr. 2011 |
ZAR
1 - 4
UDL
17%
21%
62%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Cuarto Distrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 may. 2011 |
CUA
5 - 1
LOR
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2011 |
CUA
3 - 3
EGP
36%
25%
40%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 abr. 2011 |
COT
1 - 0
CUA
18%
21%
60%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 abr. 2011 |
CUA
3 - 3
MIN
29%
24%
47%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 abr. 2011 |
YEC
0 - 2
CUA
51%
24%
25%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |