Copa Libertadores Jor. 6

Análisis CS Emelec vs Alianza Lima

CS Emelec Alianza Lima
70 ELO 67
-4.8% Tilt -8.5%
473º Ranking ELO general 319º
10º Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
52.8%
CS Emelec
24.1%
Empate
23.1%
Alianza Lima

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
CS Emelec
1.7
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
Alianza Lima
1.03
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
CS Emelec
+3%
+13%
Alianza Lima

Progresión del ELO

CS Emelec
Alianza Lima
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

CS Emelec
CS Emelec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 abr. 2000
EME
CS Emelec
0 - 0
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
31%
23%
47%
70 81 11 0
22 mar. 2000
NAC
Nacional
1 - 0
CS Emelec
EME
66%
21%
14%
70 77 7 0
09 mar. 2000
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
1 - 0
CS Emelec
EME
81%
12%
7%
70 80 10 0
29 feb. 2000
ALI
Alianza Lima
2 - 1
CS Emelec
EME
45%
26%
29%
71 67 4 -1
23 feb. 2000
EME
CS Emelec
0 - 2
Nacional
NAC
44%
26%
31%
72 76 4 -1

Partidos

Alianza Lima
Alianza Lima
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 abr. 2000
ALI
Alianza Lima
2 - 2
Nacional
NAC
34%
27%
40%
67 77 10 0
22 mar. 2000
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
2 - 1
Alianza Lima
ALI
80%
13%
7%
67 81 14 0
08 mar. 2000
NAC
Nacional
2 - 0
Alianza Lima
ALI
70%
19%
11%
68 77 9 -1
29 feb. 2000
ALI
Alianza Lima
2 - 1
CS Emelec
EME
45%
26%
29%
67 71 4 +1
16 feb. 2000
ALI
Alianza Lima
0 - 3
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
30%
23%
47%
68 80 12 -1