Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16

Global 3-1

Análisis CS Emelec vs Zamora FC

CS Emelec Zamora FC
78 ELO 73
2.1% Tilt -5%
745º Ranking ELO general 2287º
16º Ranking ELO país 16º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
57.3%
CS Emelec
23.1%
Empate
19.7%
Zamora FC

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
CS Emelec
1.79
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
Zamora FC
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
CS Emelec
+7%
+8%
Zamora FC

Progresión del ELO

CS Emelec
Zamora FC
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

CS Emelec
CS Emelec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 ago. 2009
ESP
Espoli
2 - 0
CS Emelec
EME
37%
28%
35%
78 70 8 0
20 ago. 2009
EME
CS Emelec
2 - 2
Barcelona SC
BSC
53%
25%
23%
78 75 3 0
17 ago. 2009
EME
CS Emelec
2 - 1
CD Olmedo
OLM
51%
26%
23%
78 77 1 0
06 ago. 2009
ZAM
Zamora FC
0 - 1
CS Emelec
EME
45%
26%
30%
77 73 4 +1
01 ago. 2009
TEC
Técnico Universitario
0 - 2
CS Emelec
EME
39%
27%
35%
76 67 9 +1

Partidos

Zamora FC
Zamora FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 ago. 2009
ZUL
Zulia FC
1 - 1
Zamora FC
ZAM
40%
28%
33%
74 67 7 0
16 ago. 2009
LAR
Deportivo Lara
1 - 1
Zamora FC
ZAM
45%
28%
27%
73 69 4 +1
09 ago. 2009
ZAM
Zamora FC
0 - 2
Deportivo Miranda
MIR
59%
24%
17%
74 68 6 -1
06 ago. 2009
ZAM
Zamora FC
0 - 1
CS Emelec
EME
45%
26%
30%
73 77 4 +1
17 may. 2009
ZAM
Zamora FC
1 - 3
Caracas
CFC
42%
26%
32%
74 77 3 -1