Análisis Emmen vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.14
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-18%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 dic. 1999 |
HEL
3 - 2
FCE
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 1999 |
FCE
1 - 4
HFC
68%
20%
13%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 nov. 1999 |
VOL
2 - 2
FCE
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 1999 |
FCE
2 - 1
GRO
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 nov. 1999 |
GAE
1 - 3
FCE
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 dic. 1999 |
NAC
1 - 2
EXC
58%
22%
21%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 1999 |
EXC
0 - 2
TEL
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 nov. 1999 |
FCO
1 - 4
EXC
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 nov. 1999 |
EXC
3 - 0
VVV
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 oct. 1999 |
ADO
2 - 1
EXC
49%
24%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |