Análisis Envigado vs At. Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
30.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.12
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.8%
Empate
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
42.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.37
Goles esperados
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 abr. 2010 |
MIL
2 - 1
ENV
48%
26%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2010 |
ENV
1 - 0
IND
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 abr. 2010 |
ENV
2 - 3
TOL
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2010 |
EQU
2 - 0
ENV
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 abr. 2010 |
ENV
2 - 1
PER
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
Partidos
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 abr. 2010 |
NAC
4 - 2
CAR
61%
24%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2010 |
IND
2 - 1
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 1
AGU
71%
19%
11%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 abr. 2010 |
COR
0 - 2
NAC
23%
27%
50%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 abr. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 0
AME
60%
24%
17%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |