Análisis España Sub19 vs Lituania Sub19
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.53
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.9%
Empate
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.73
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
España Sub19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 abr. 2003 |
FRA
0 - 0
ESP
38%
25%
38%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2003 |
ISR
0 - 2
ESP
13%
21%
67%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2003 |
POL
2 - 1
ESP
27%
24%
49%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 jul. 2002 |
ESP
1 - 0
GER
50%
23%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 jul. 2002 |
SVK
1 - 3
ESP
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Lituania Sub19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 sep. 2003 |
IRL
2 - 1
LTU
58%
22%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 2003 |
LTU
1 - 0
BGR
45%
24%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 sep. 2003 |
LTU
1 - 1
SMR
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2002 |
ARM
0 - 5
LTU
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 oct. 2002 |
ITA
3 - 1
LTU
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |