Análisis España Sub21 vs Alemania Sub21
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.2%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
16.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
España Sub21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 nov. 2002 |
ESP
7 - 1
BGR
76%
16%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 2002 |
ESP
3 - 0
SVN
83%
13%
4%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2002 |
ESP
1 - 0
NIR
86%
11%
3%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2002 |
GRC
1 - 0
ESP
29%
25%
46%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2002 |
HUN
0 - 1
ESP
19%
22%
59%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
Partidos
Alemania Sub21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 nov. 2002 |
GER
4 - 1
NED
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 2002 |
BIH
5 - 1
GER
15%
22%
64%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | -1 |
| 06 sep. 2002 |
LTU
1 - 4
GER
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | +1 |
| 20 ago. 2002 |
ITA
0 - 2
GER
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2002 |
GER
2 - 2
IRL
85%
11%
5%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |